4
Steelin Bases
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 94
Gulfstream · Race 9 - Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength67%
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 21/12/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 05/02/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |
| 08/03/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 29/03/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 09/05/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 20/06/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 12/07/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |