8
Forgotten Gift
6yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 84
Laurel Park · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Charles Town | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Charles Town | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-15 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |
| 01/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 22/11/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 13/12/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 15/01/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 05/02/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 27/02/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 20/03/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 02/05/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 13% | -0.40 |