7
Hopeforgreatness
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 65
Laurel Park · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength43%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Penn National | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-07-08 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-06-17 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-12-12 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-08-28 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-07-24 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength86%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2024 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 86% | -0.06 |
| 06/06/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 16/07/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 24/07/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 88% | +0.30 |
| 28/08/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/12/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 17/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 18/08/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |