2
Susan's Mule
5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 79
Laurel Park · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength70%
Delivery trend +4.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 12/02/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 25/03/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 01/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 24/06/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 06/08/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 21/08/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |