7

Twenty Four Cara

4yo Filly · 9-0

Laurel Park · Race 10 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Colonial Downs 11/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 12411/07C6C6 @ Colonial Downs 06/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 72 · 6f Fm 124 · below its mark06/08/2026 · OR 72 par6/08C6OR 72C6 @ Colonial Downs 21/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 72 · 5f110y Fm 124 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 72 par21/08C6OR 72projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Colonial Downs?4th4th0
2026-08-06Colonial Downs?9th9th0
2026-07-11Colonial Downs?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/076/0821/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +18.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/07/20267th40/10%25%+0.25
06/08/20269th40/10%0%0.00
21/08/20264th33/10%63%+0.63