Notion In Motion
5yo Gelding · 9-0
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-06-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2025-10-24 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-04 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-08-13 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/12/2023 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.25 |
| 02/02/2024 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 27/06/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 13/08/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 78% | +0.15 |
| 04/09/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 24/10/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 44% | -0.19 |
| 22/11/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 14/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 91% | +0.03 |
| 28/06/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 71% | -0.13 |