Blazing Bridgette

3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 71

Laurel Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m

Rank

Odds

6/4

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▬

Strength29%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.5

Today:

Class gap: 0.0

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-09	Colonial Downs	?	3rd	4th	−1	5.8
2026-07-16	Colonial Downs	?	7th	8th	−1	1.8
2026-06-28	Colonial Downs	?	3rd	4th	−1	5.8
2026-02-27	Gulfstream	?	3rd	2nd	+1	8.2
2026-01-31	Gulfstream	?	6th	5th	+1	5.2
2026-01-01	Gulfstream	?	2nd	1st	+1	9.2

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▼

Strength51%

Delivery trend -6.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
25/09/2025	3rd	5/1	74%	71%	-0.02
18/10/2025	5th	25/1	0%	60%	+0.60
21/11/2025	2nd	15/8	90%	83%	-0.07
01/01/2026	2nd	4/1	79%	86%	+0.07
31/01/2026	6th	9/2	76%	50%	-0.26
27/02/2026	3rd	7/2	82%	60%	-0.22
28/06/2026	3rd	9/4	88%	71%	-0.17
16/07/2026	7th	5/4	93%	40%	-0.53
09/08/2026	3rd	9/4	88%	82%	-0.06