4
Spring Training
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 64
Laurel Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-07-16 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-12-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-11-09 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 29/11/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 91% | +0.33 |
| 14/12/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 16/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |