Dreams Of Rome
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 90
Laurel Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Saratoga | ? | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2026-08-02 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-04-24 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +9.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 17/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 26/06/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 02/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 29/08/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |