Kuhner
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 83
Laurel Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-07-09 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-06-26 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 12th | 14th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +11.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/2026 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 15% | -0.00 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 09/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |
| 02/08/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 03/09/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |