4
Mentor
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 48
Laurel Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 2.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-04-19 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-03-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-02-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength29%
Delivery trend +7.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 22/03/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 19/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 27/05/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 08/08/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |