Shakin My Head
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 76
Laurel Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Colonial Downs | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-08-16 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-24 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-31 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-05-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 78% | -0.04 |
| 09/11/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 01/01/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 78% | +0.20 |
| 10/05/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 63% | -0.20 |
| 31/05/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 26/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 43% | -0.20 |
| 16/08/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 04/09/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |