Snookie Bear
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 84
Laurel Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-12-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2025-09-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-07-20 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/2024 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 36% | -0.00 |
| 10/11/2024 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 14/06/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 20/07/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 27/09/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 38% | -0.23 |
| 01/11/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 21/12/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 19/06/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 57% | -0.27 |
| 27/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |