6
Crab Mentality
3yo Filly · 8-10
Laurel Park · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
8/5
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength51%
Delivery trend -13.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 22/05/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 19/06/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 27/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |