2
Final Moment
3yo Filly · 8-6
Laurel Park · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Colonial Downs | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 16-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -10.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 10/10/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 01/11/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 09/07/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 02/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 27/08/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 10% | -0.16 |