13
Light De Night
3yo Filly · 8-10
Laurel Park · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
41%
Place Prob
31%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength98%
Delivery trend +4.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2025 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 13% | -0.59 |
| 28/09/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 01/06/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 17% | -0.68 |
| 26/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 16/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |
| 01/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 90% | -0.03 |
| 23/08/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |