1
Montserrat Boom
3yo Filly · 8-6
Laurel Park · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Colonial Downs | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 15-16 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 45% | +0.09 |
| 15/08/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 27/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |