5
Nancy's Notion
4yo Filly · 9-0
Laurel Park · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#16
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-06 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-05-24 | Laurel Park | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-05-04 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-04-18 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 13-16 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength4%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 14th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 04/05/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/05/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/09/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 26/12/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |