7
Robert's Moon
4yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 95
Laurel Park · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Penn National | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/2026 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 20% | -0.71 |
| 07/03/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 20/03/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 16/04/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 26/04/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 03/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 10/06/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 30/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 91% | +0.09 |