6
Brightshininglight
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 91
Laurel Park · Race 8 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
21%
Place Prob
22%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-06-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength92%
Delivery trend +6.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 15/03/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 60% | -0.30 |
| 17/04/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 13/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |