7
Enduring Gold
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 88
Laurel Park · Race 8 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength4%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-06-28 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-05-23 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-08-14 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength55%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 14/06/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 78% | +0.01 |
| 19/07/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 29% | -0.48 |
| 14/08/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |
| 26/04/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 28/06/2026 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 33% | -0.57 |
| 02/08/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 03/09/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |