3
Rye Diggitydog
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 88
Laurel Park · Race 8 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength51%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 27/06/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 01/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 12/09/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |
| 18/10/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 56% | +0.19 |
| 15/11/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 26/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 43% | -0.45 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |