6
Great Quality
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 76
Laurel Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength3%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2025-10-18 | Laurel Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-08-14 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-07-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2025-05-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength64%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/2024 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 28/09/2024 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 28/05/2025 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 40% | -0.51 |
| 10/07/2025 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 14/08/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 18/10/2025 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 21/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 17/06/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |