3
Superfractor
3yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 90
Laurel Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
6/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2025-07-26 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-07-04 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength70%
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 26/07/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 30/05/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 28/06/2026 | 6th | 7/4 | 91% | 38% | -0.53 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/9 | 98% | 80% | -0.18 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |