Amador
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 61
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 8.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Del Mar | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Del Mar | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-07-26 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +22.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 23/08/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 14/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 30/08/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |