5

Grey Power

4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 69

Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength39%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 14/09/2024 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 5f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS14/09C6C6 @ Santa Anita 29/09/2024 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 61 · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/09/2024 · OR 61 par29/09C6OR 61C6 @ Santa Anita 19/01/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 49 · 6f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/01/2025 · OR 49 par19/01C6OR 49C7 @ Santa Anita 15/02/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 54 · 1m Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/02/2025 · OR 54 par15/02C7OR 54C8 @ Santa Anita 08/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 58 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark08/03/2026 · OR 58 par8/03C8OR 58C8 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 19/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 68 · 5f110y Fas 126 · below its mark19/06/2026 · OR 68 par19/06C8OR 68C8 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 05/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 68 · 5f110y 126 · below its mark05/07/2026 · OR 68 par5/07C8OR 68projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-05Los Alamitos Racecourse?3rd3rd0
2026-06-19Los Alamitos Racecourse?5th5th0
2026-03-08Santa Anita?7th7th0
2025-02-15Santa Anita?6th5th+1
2025-01-19Santa Anita?9th7th+2
2024-09-29Santa Anita?8th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0915/025/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength76%

Delivery trend +5.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/09/20244th12/137%25%-0.12
29/09/20248th50/10%0%0.00
19/01/20259th50/10%11%+0.11
15/02/20256th33/10%0%0.00
08/03/20267th50/10%33%+0.33
19/06/20265th7/282%33%-0.48
05/07/20263rd16/116%80%+0.64