Proud Racer
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 86
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
4/5
Win Prob
93%
Place Prob
70%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 2.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-06-06 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-05-29 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-06-29 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2025 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 80% | -0.16 |
| 03/05/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 08/06/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 29/06/2025 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 83% | -0.10 |
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/11 | 95% | 71% | -0.24 |
| 29/05/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 86% | -0.09 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/9 | 98% | 60% | -0.38 |
| 26/06/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 21/08/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |