2
Shady Gem
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 69
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Del Mar | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-04-30 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-02-07 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength64%
Delivery trend +8.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 17% | -0.69 |
| 20/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 30/04/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 29% | -0.56 |
| 15/06/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 17% | -0.65 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 08/08/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |