1
Eielson
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 76
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 4 - Claiming · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Del Mar | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-16 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +33.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/11/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/07/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 70% | -0.14 |
| 14/08/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |