6
Pine Run
5yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 73
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 4 - Claiming · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Turf Paradise | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-30 | Turf Paradise | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength98%
Delivery trend +16.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 22/04/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |