5
Heavenly Match
3yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 78
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Del Mar | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Turfway Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-19 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength61%
Delivery trend +9.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/11/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 19/12/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 15/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 02/08/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 22/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |