Hit The Track Jack
3yo Colt · 8-12 · OR 79
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
13%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 6.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Del Mar | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-06-12 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-05-10 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -13.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 06/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 29/08/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 10% | -0.43 |