Om Grown Tomatoes

3yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 70

Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼2

Strength82%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.1

Today:

Class gap: +2.4

Higher-class runs: 4

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-07	Del Mar	?	8th	5th	+3	5.0
2026-08-15	Del Mar	?	8th	5th	+3	5.0
2026-07-20	Del Mar	?	4th	1st	+3	9.0
2026-04-22	Turf Paradise	?	5th	3rd	+2	7.4

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%

▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price

Trend▲

Strength8%

Delivery trend +2.3% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
22/04/2026	5th	5/1	74%	33%	-0.40
20/07/2026	4th	50/1	0%	73%	+0.73
15/08/2026	8th	10/1	47%	22%	-0.25
07/09/2026	8th	33/1	0%	0%	0.00