7
Blame It On Abby
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 74
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
92%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-21 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-10-11 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength95%
Delivery trend +5.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 44% | -0.29 |
| 29/08/2025 | 8th | 11/4 | 86% | 22% | -0.63 |
| 21/09/2025 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 80% | -0.15 |
| 11/10/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |
| 08/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 21/06/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 4/5 | 96% | 56% | -0.40 |
| 31/07/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 23/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |