1
Breville
6yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 57
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-19 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-06-28 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-06-28 | Pleasanton | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2024-05-18 | Golden Gate Fields | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2024-03-15 | Golden Gate Fields | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2024-02-23 | Golden Gate Fields | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength35%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/03/2023 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |
| 23/04/2023 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/01/2024 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 23/02/2024 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 15/03/2024 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 18/05/2024 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/06/2024 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 28/06/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 19/09/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |