5
Susie's Loaded
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 63
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Del Mar | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-13 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 22/02/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/03/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 15/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 25/07/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 22/08/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |