Vronaway
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 70
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Del Mar | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-03-08 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 09/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 08/02/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 08/03/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 18/04/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 64% | +0.06 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 22/08/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 18% | -0.08 |