Harney Lane
5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 89
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 7 - Starter Allowance · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-10 | Del Mar | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-07-31 | Del Mar | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 24/04/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 30/04/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 50% | -0.43 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 31/07/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 10/08/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 30/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 88% | +0.22 |