5
Roman Empress
7yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 74
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 7 - Starter Allowance · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Del Mar | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-07-19 | Del Mar | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-07-05 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -10.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 30/05/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 22/06/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 05/07/2025 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 80% | -0.14 |
| 19/07/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 21/09/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 28/06/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 01/08/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |