7
Sensational Z Z
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 77
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 7 - Starter Allowance · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-22 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-02-13 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-11-02 | Del Mar | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-09-12 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2025-08-23 | Del Mar | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength39%
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/11/2024 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 23/01/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 31/07/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 23/08/2025 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 12/09/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 21/09/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 02/11/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 13/02/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 22/05/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 14% | -0.62 |