8
Shop Till You Drop
5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 94
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 7 - Starter Allowance · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-11-14 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-10-12 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-04-19 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-02-21 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength78%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2024 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 27/12/2024 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 24/01/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |
| 21/02/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 19/04/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 21/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 86% | -0.08 |
| 12/10/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 14/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 30/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |