Alix
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 70
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 8 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Del Mar | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-23 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-01-17 | Santa Anita | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 23/03/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 38% | -0.20 |
| 26/04/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 22/05/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 25/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.28 |
| 23/08/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |