3
Jager Angel
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 55
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 8 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength5%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-07-04 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2025-06-22 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2024-11-03 | Golden State Racing | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 7-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -23.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/2024 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |
| 22/06/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/07/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/12/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |