2
Love Lock
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 58
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 8 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Del Mar | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Santa Anita | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Santa Anita | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength89%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 15/02/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 58% | +0.43 |
| 15/03/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 30/04/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 30/05/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 06/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 22/08/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |