4
Savannahs Big Girl
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 68
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 8 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Del Mar | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-02-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength57%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 15/02/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 27/03/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/04/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 14% | -0.44 |
| 22/05/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 20/06/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |
| 25/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |