8
Shady Stripes
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 74
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 8 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/5
Win Prob
88%
Place Prob
66%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Del Mar | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-01-23 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength37%
Delivery trend -5.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 71% | -0.18 |
| 31/08/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 12/12/2025 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 71% | -0.19 |
| 23/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 67% | -0.26 |
| 22/02/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |
| 14/06/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 25/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 91% | -0.03 |
| 22/08/2026 | 12th | 2/1 | 89% | 0% | -0.89 |
| 13/09/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 14% | -0.68 |