1
Bean Machine
5yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 73
Meadowlands · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 19/09/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/10/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 27/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 17/07/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 01/08/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 43% | -0.28 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 13/09/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |