I'm A Gambler
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 91
Meadowlands · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
23%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | -2th | +3 |
| 2026-04-18 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-03-08 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-01-22 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-15 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-11-02 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 13/09/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 18/10/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |
| 02/11/2025 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |
| 15/11/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 22/01/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 08/03/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 18/04/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |