Leo Monte
8yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 76
Meadowlands · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Monmouth Park | ? | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2026-06-13 | Monmouth Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Meadowlands | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-09-28 | Meadowlands | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2025-08-31 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 03/08/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 17/08/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 31/08/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 28/09/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 90% | -0.00 |
| 18/10/2025 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 25% | -0.61 |
| 28/11/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 13/06/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 12/07/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |