4

Wild Jaime

5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 83

Meadowlands · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

63%

Place Prob

44%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength56%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Meadowlands 20/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 81 · 1m110y 124 · below its mark20/09/2025 · OR 81 par20/09C8OR 81C8 @ Meadowlands 04/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 83 · 5f 121 · below its mark04/10/2025 · OR 83 parC8 @ Meadowlands 10/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 85 · 1m110y 121 · below its mark10/10/2025 · OR 85 par10/10C8OR 85C8 @ Penn National 20/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 88 · 1m70y Fas 121 · below its mark20/11/2025 · OR 88 parC8 @ Monmouth Park 20/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 81 · 6f Fas 119 · below its mark20/06/2026 · OR 81 par20/06C8OR 81C8 @ Monmouth Park 05/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 72 · 1m110y Gd 119 · beat its mark05/07/2026 · OR 72 parC6 @ Monmouth Park 12/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 70 · 1m Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 70 par12/07C6OR 70C6 @ Monmouth Park 23/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 82 · 1m110y 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/08/2026 · OR 82 parC6 @ Monmouth Park 07/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 80 · 1m Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/09/2026 · OR 80 par7/09C6OR 80projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Monmouth Park?7th5th+2
2026-08-23Monmouth Park?6th4th+2
2026-07-12Monmouth Park?4th2nd+2
2026-07-05Monmouth Park?1st1st0
2026-06-20Monmouth Park?6th6th0
2025-11-20Penn National?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0920/1112/077/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength55%

Delivery trend +2.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/09/20255th15/890%33%-0.57
04/10/20255th11/486%50%-0.36
10/10/20252nd11/271%90%+0.19
20/11/20255th7/282%0%-0.82
20/06/20266th33/10%0%0.00
05/07/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
12/07/20264th4/179%70%-0.09
23/08/20266th7/282%17%-0.65
07/09/20267th8/158%50%-0.08